Riley opens big over Baxley. (thanks to Politics in Alabama)
More on the race from National Journal's Hotline:
Well, the fact that Riley's got 28% of the African-American
vote is a surprise. He also earns 22% of the Dem vote to Baxley's 55%. Those numbers are probably artificially high, however. Riley's been all over the airwaves, thanks to his primary battle with ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R), and he's had a lot more money to spend than Baxley. Once she gets on the air,
her numbers will get a lot better -- especially among African Americans and Dems -- and she'll tighten the race.
Maybe an endorsement from ex-Gov. Don
Siegelman (D) would help.It seems highly unlikely that Siegelman would endorse Baxley at this point in the race. I think its more likely that Baxley endorses him down the road than he endorses her now.
The poll also showed a stark "gender gap" for Baxley, who is bidding to become the state's first female governor in four decades. Baxley garnered the support of just 18 percent of the men surveyed, while 57 percent chose Riley. The governor also led among women 49 percent to 31 percent.
"It makes one wonder whether Alabama is ready for a female governor," Nicholls said..
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